Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 7.960806 9.352623 10.878558 12.670699 14.712574 16.961137 19.619144
2025-11-30 5.777259 7.693654 10.022109 13.034021 16.798596 21.318266 27.121329
2025-12-07 4.552021 6.701286 9.532561 13.476030 18.757492 25.509796 34.705078
2025-12-14 3.512278 5.654354 8.684043 13.181110 19.564944 28.162003 40.443207
2025-12-21 2.754396 4.814135 7.921380 12.802232 20.092355 30.358532 45.631267
2025-12-28 2.418739 4.531396 7.894672 13.429050 22.042231 34.611642 53.918567
2026-01-04 2.111345 4.225980 7.767547 13.852453 23.686176 38.507815 61.937245
2026-01-11 1.796857 3.841977 7.443062 13.896014 24.709604 41.516929 68.814557
2026-01-18 1.538394 3.506461 7.142216 13.921558 25.673499 44.466002 75.755393
2026-01-25 1.277041 3.110450 6.668550 13.575963 25.963317 46.338729 81.103462
2026-02-01 1.065387 2.770688 6.243408 13.252266 26.234992 48.166436 86.453744
2026-02-08 0.870891 2.424614 5.749260 12.729339 26.085778 49.254730 90.628541
2026-02-15 0.689842 2.077590 5.219344 12.114400 25.792767 50.222035 94.937461
2026-02-22 0.618254 1.984340 5.219773 12.573348 27.578103 54.987791 106.120110
2026-03-01 0.554814 1.896290 5.216646 13.022822 29.386373 59.925734 117.926712
2026-03-08 0.457586 1.687078 4.894261 12.740325 29.711954 62.179973 125.125594
2026-03-15 0.373352 1.488642 4.557886 12.373137 29.814664 64.006800 131.645507
2026-03-22 0.345795 1.459181 4.642771 12.981942 32.004688 69.935822 146.025343
2026-03-29 0.312910 1.402293 4.645077 13.393183 33.804936 75.221751 159.496106
2026-04-05 0.270963 1.299992 4.504285 13.435497 34.798919 78.980658 170.285122
2026-04-12 0.234469 1.204826 4.364875 13.460309 35.750372 82.707524 181.208347
2026-04-19 0.193649 1.076500 4.101000 13.124651 35.840870 84.678201 188.812878
2026-04-26 0.160063 0.963608 3.859280 12.810293 35.943260 86.667459 196.547916